Daily Report: ECB remained on hold & North and South Korea in historic meeting
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ECB remained on hold, EUR/USD drops
- ECB decided to remain on hold keeping interest rates at 0.00% yesterday and the EUR/USD dropped some 100 pips in total.
- In the accompanying statement the comment about keeping the interest rates unchanged and the QE program until September and beyond if necessary, was repeated, making the statement sound a bit dovish.
- In the following press conference Draghi’s comment that data point toward moderation of expansion stands out.
- Overall should there be further lukewarm financial data form the Eurozone we could see the EUR weakening further.
North and South Korea in historic meeting
- North and South Korean leaders joined hands in a historic meeting at the Korean demilitarised zone earlier today.
- The two leaders seemed relaxed and confident with each other sparking new hopes for the Inter-Korean relationships.
- On the other hand western analysts remain cautious as similar meetings in 2007 and 2000 did not generate the expected results.
- Should there be further improvement in the Inter-Korean relationships we could see uncertainty fade away in the region.
Today’s other economic highlights
- France: Preliminary GDP for Q1, Survey: +0.4% qoq Prior: +0.7% qoq, 05:30 (GMT), could weaken the EUR
- Preliminary CPI (EU Norm.) for April, Survey: +1.7% yoy Prior:+1.7% yoy, 06:45 (GMT), could weaken the EUR
- UK: Nationwide House Price Index for April, Survey: +0.2% mom Prior:-0.2% mom, 06:00 (GMT), could strengthen the GBP
- Preliminary GDP for Q1, Survey: +0.3% qoq Prior: +0.4% qoq, 08:30 (GMT), could weaken the GBP
- Eurozone: Final Consumer Confidence for April, Survey: -0.1 Prior: +0.4, 09:00 (GMT), EUR could weaken
- Germany: Unemployment Rate for April, Survey: 5.3% Prior:5.3%, 08:00 (GMT), neutral for EUR
- Unemployment Change for April, Survey: -15K Prior: -19K, 08:00(GMT), bearish for EUR
- US: Preliminary GDP for Q1, Survey: +2.0% qoq, Prior: +2.9% qoq, 12:30 (GMT), could weaken the USD
- Final U. Michigan Sentiment for April, Survey: 98.0 Prior: 97.8, 14:00 (GMT), neutral for USD
- Speakers: ECB members Yves Mersch (05:45 & 08:00, GMT), Sabine Lautenschlager (06:45 GMT) and BoE governor Mark Carney (14:00 GMT) speak.